At 29 decades of age Martin is coming into his prime. Undefeated in Welterweight he’s showing substantial improvements in both skill and fight IQ. Martin is a BJJ Blackbelt but it is his striking that’s shining lately showing good motion and a long troublesome jab. Maia is almost 42 years old but nevertheless stays dangerous. On the floor his control and submission arsenal is unmatched. He’s taken considerable damage in recent fights in which his inability to get takedowns leaves him a sitting duck. Without a realistic title shot on the horizon you need to question his motivation going forward.
Stylistically this is a fight Maia should triumph, but with all the athletic and remarkable benefits in Martins favour the result is much nearer than the line indicates. Maia will need early takedowns and maybe a finish in around one. Martin must make this difficult and if he is trapped, has got the BJJ to survive the submission strikes. Into around two will probably be where Martin can take over as it is no key Maia slows drastically. This is a good spot to choose the hungry young fighter in dogs odds.Drew Dober Breakdown
Dober comes into this matchup off a loss, but fought well and is showing a lot of improvements fight to fight. He has developed his power to compliment his quite precise striking style. Another facet to his sport is his wrestling, which he looks to mix into his offence more frequently. No world beater, but a well rounded fighter with a solid chin means Dober matches up nicely with other lower level fighters.
Polo Reyes is 34 decades of age and his durability is presently a massive question mark. Two of the last 3 fights have finished in a bad TKO loss. He throws with serious power but isn’t well rounded, as vulnerable by Had??ovi?? who dominated him around the floor before pounding him out. Essentially all of the skill advantages are with Dober leaving Reyes with few avenues to success other than a punchers chance. The price is steep but this fight should be a straight forward success for Dober
Bet = Dober in 1.31 (-325) chances. Risk 5 Units to acquire 1.55 Units.
Vinc Pichel Breakdown
This is a classic big favourite prospect carrying a step up trap. Roberts has a lot of hype but has failed to spark so far against some lacklustre competition. There are a number of obvious holes in his game where he is backed up easily and retains his chin high. Pitchel is coming back after a second layoff and in 36 there is a possibility he might look skinnier. He’s got big power and will want to induce a brawl where his durability and durability can glow.
This should be a competitive game where we can’t overlook the odds on Pichel. Roberts has potential but hasn’t shown anything yet to justify this kind of price tag. Look for the veteran to force striking trades and land some power shots. A KO is possible or close decision too probably.
Bet = Pichel in 3.50 (+250) chances. Risk 2 Units to win 5.0 Units.
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