The Coca-Cola 600 will get underway in 6 pm ET on Sunday on FOX, with Kyle Busch as the clear favorite (+250 gambling odds).
Kevin Harvick (+600) and Martin Truex Jr. (+600) aren’t too far behind in what’s going to be the greatest race of this year.
Nick Giffen uses his statistical model to handicap the four greatest futures values from the race.
For the second successive weekend, the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series will be racing in Charlotte Motor Speedwday (6:00 p.m. ET, FOX). However, this time rather than an All-Star shootout, motorists are in for a grueling 600 miles from the Cup Series’ longest race of the year.
Charlotte is a 1.5-mile oval with a relatively old surface that was repaved back in 2006. We saw from the All-Star race that tires did make a difference and track position was also extremely significant, therefore this race should offer a great blend of multiple 1.5-mile tracks.
The most recent 1.5-mile points-paying race was also a night race in Kansas Speedwday. In that race, the top five in typical green-flag speed all showed up in the top nine in 15-lap rate in Happy Hour, despite the race being at nighttime and final practice throughout the day.
We have a similar situation at Charlotte this weekend, so I’ll surely rely on long-haul pace along with 1.5-mile performance this year and past Charlotte oval performance when handicapping the race.
Armed with all these data points, let us get right to my favorite bets to win tonight’s race, plus bonus top-five and top-10 props.
A fast primer about the chances under: A $100 wager at +375 chances would gain $375, while a $200 wager at -200 odds would cover $100.
Kevin Harvick +600 to Acquire
Kyle Busch is the favorite thanks to his exceptional speed in Happy Hour and three wins to Harvick’s zero wins this season. However, it could be claimed that Harvick ought to be a co-favorite despite finishing only 13th on the 10-lap plank in final practice.
That’s because in opening training, he had been much better relative to the remainder of the field over 10 consecutive laps. His fifth-place time during the warmer temperatures is encouraging. In fact, Harvick’s Crew Chief Rodney Childers stated the cars are really sensitive to track changes, which they were really good in opening clinic throughout the warmer temperatures.
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